W
WizardofSoda
Overlord
★★★★★
- Joined
- Aug 25, 2019
- Posts
- 7,593
Back in 2001 I read Kurzweil's book 'The Age of Spiritual Machines'. And it had this graph on the website where I read the book. I see somebody has updated the graph with a 2020 data point. What the graph is showing is the inflation adjusted calculations per second that $1,000 of computing can do.
One of the most insane things about this graph to me is you take the ~2030 time frame for a $1,000 computer matching the human brain. But then its only 25 years more to ~2055 that $1,000 in computing power can match all 10 billion human brains at that time.
Imagine the speed science will be able to move at in 2055 when you can buy computers that match all 10 billion people's brainpower. And that computer would be able to coordinate that computing power together. Now realize big corporations would be buying tens of thousands of these computers, for really difficult questions.
This is a picture from inside one of Google's data center warehouses. This complex has maybe 5+ warehouses like this.
Back in 2001 when I read the book Microsoft was one of the top 5 market cap companies in the world. But the other ones, Facebook, Amazon, Google & Apple weren't that big or even created yet.
What will we do with this kind of computing power. There are two things that I realized would takeover the economy, and indeed have taken over the economy. Healthcare and entertainment. Which together are 50% of the US economy now.
You see with computing/AI/robotics/machinery the price of everything will fall towards 0. That is what is necessitating the global printing is to overcome the technological deflation. I foresaw that massive printing would be necessary as far back as 2003. But this printing it will only get bigger in time, because these technologies are on an exponential trends. As millions of peoples jobs are automated away their consumption falls off, and the system must print money and distribute it to everyone to drive the consumption of the machine production.
Why is healthcare not automated this way. It is because biology is so wildly complex that even with current computing power we haven't made that much headway yet in curing all diseases and curing aging and being able to modify peoples' biology. But it is moving up. In 2010 I saw that pharma was going to become the main part of the economy. Granted I didn't foresee that pharma would do full state takeover, and definitely not this quickly. Computational chemistry, in silico experiments, AI, big data, it is leading to mega advances in pharmaceuticals which are now beginning to reach the marketplace.
And entertainment is going to keep growing forever. What do people who don't need to work care about. Their health and entertainment. You see what we are going to do is create the next layer of the matrix.
The endgame is Ageless perfect health humans, in simulated universes. People are already being 'pulled into' the computers. It started imo with radio or tv's. But now its really going you can see people are being 'pulled into' their cell phones. And pulled into their desktop pc's. Spending more and more percentage of their waking hours in virtual reality. You see its steps towards full immersion.
What gets people who read what I am saying is it seems impossible that computing could simulate the entire universe in real time. The thing is these numbers become incomprehensible. For example take a computer equivalent to all of humanity in calculations per second. We can imagine humanity as it is now. But we can't really imagine how that would be coordinated thinking without duplications.
Now take to teach people k-12 and then university it takes many years. But computers can update with all that info in seconds now. That isn't even futurist technology that is right now. Now imagine a computer with 10 billion times all of humanity's calculations per second ability.
I could see that this kind of computing power we are talking Godlike power. If you read about God as they describe him, the creator of the universe, that is what these computers will be doing for their simulated universes. If you think something and then it manifests hours or days later in your reality - you think a computer complex that can simulate the universe can't do that, and do it smoothly so it works seamlessly in your world? @Transcended Trucel
It doesn't mean for sure that is what it is doing, I am only pointing out that it is very possible. It is this thinking with can the universe be simulated, and could you right now be a spirit playing in a simulation, that is full immersion? Thats the point this isn't just pure speculation now, it is looking a very realistic possibility that it will be possible.
When Buddha and Plato and co. were speculating about this stuff 2,500 years ago that was pretty far fetched(Avatars, this not being the 'real world', Plato's Cave, etc..). And visionary of them to consider that. But now its not even that wild. There is other things that are wild from today's perspective.