![aGuyAlone](/data/avatars/m/35/35746.jpg?1643493060)
aGuyAlone
Self-banned
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- Joined
- Jul 25, 2021
- Posts
- 551
![300px-2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg.png](/proxy.php?image=https%3A%2F%2Fupload.wikimedia.org%2Fwikipedia%2Fcommons%2Fthumb%2F4%2F4f%2F2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg%2F300px-2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg.png&hash=6277c986e9926ec19eed157ea6e29aba)
A little over a year ago I made a similar post on .is and many predicted that Ukraine would have fallen within a week of me posting or become a puppet state, this did not come to fruition and now Russia holds about 20% of Ukrainian territory and the war is still ongoing as the Russki's try to capture all of Donbas.
My personal prediction is that the Ukrainian counter-offensive will make only minimal gains on the basis that the entire offensive is based on the usage of a few hundred Western tanks, many of which are Leopard II's which performed badly in Syria against ISIS which used primarily Russian and Iranian designed Anti Tank weapons. And sure they'll have a few dozen Abrams tanks on the front in about a month but there's not enough of them and Abrams are fuel guzzling beasts which could only really be used to full effectiveness when they're supported by U.S Army and Marine's logistics and have a constant supply of fuel and ammunition which the Ukranian Army likely won't be able to provide considering they're growing lack of manpower and logistical issues due to destroyed infrastructure.
However I do think they'll likely take some territory in the South, possibly even capturing Melitopol.
And after that I do believe that some kind of peace agreement will be reached.
What do you bro's think?