You literally don't have actual statistics to give me on my personal chances at ascending, stop repeating that like you have anything tangible to offer. Like I said, I know for a fact my chances at winning the lottery, I know for a fact my chances of catching a Shiny Entei with a regular pokeball, I don't know my actual chances for me ascending. I believe it to be lower than .01%, but that's a belief, if I ascended I would have no choice but to believe my guess was wrong.
Yes, if I ascend it doesn't mean everyone can ascend, i'm not saying that, stop operating on that assumption. I am however saying if I ascend there's a good chance black pill theory is inaccurate -- again, you have no statistics to fight me on this so stop with the "B-b-but statistics". The fact that there is no solid stats here means you would logically question the what you're being told the statistics are. Statistics are only truly worth it if they exist.