
YuiIsMyCope
Self-banned
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- Joined
- Jan 5, 2022
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(Remaking this thread because mods deleted it)
So the incel killings wikipedia lists are ER (6 killed), Umpqua (9 killed), Edmonton (1 killed), Aztec (2 killed), Parkland (17 killed), Toronto (11 killed), Tallahassee (2 killed), Hanau (10 killed), Toronto again (1 killed), and Plymouth (5 killed).
Now the media and anti-incels usually say that lonely, frustrated men are not incels unless they actually identify with the word. Applying that logic here would remove most of this list. The Umpqua shooter never called himself an incel. The closest he got was when he was asked online if he was "saving himself for someone special" and said "involuntarily so". The Plymouth shooter explicitly said "I wouldn't clarify myself as an incel". However, just to prove a point, I'm going to be intentionally unfair to us and include them.
The Aztec and Parkland shooters, however, could not be called incel by even the biggest stretch; they're only included on wikipedia because they idolised mass killers including Elliot Rodger (and so did the Umpqua one). But they obviously just liked him as a mass killer and didn't care about him as an incel. Both were motivate by the alt-right. And the Hanau shooter doesn't seem to have even known about incels. He was motivated by schizophrenia and the alt-right. So I will include them in one calculation and exclude them in another.
Now I need the incel population. r/incels had about 40,000 members when it was banned, and I will assume the number of non-incels and alts subbed to it balances out the number of incels not subbed to it. So I'm just gonna take it as the incel population. Keep in mind that it's the number of people specifically in the incel community and not just the number of involuntary celibates, meaning that most of these shooters aren't even in that number, but once again I'm being unfair to us to prove a point.
So the number of claimed incel homicides is 6+9+1+2+17+11+2+10+1+5=64. And these shootings happened over 8 years. So the homicide rate of incels is (64 x 100,000)/(8 x 40,000) = 20 victims per 100,000 incels per year. According to this and this, that is less than 23 countries and 12 of the most populous 100 US cities (St. Louis, Baltimore, Detroit, New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Kansas City, Cleveland, Memphis, Newark, Cincinnati, Mobile, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Chicago, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Stockton and Tulsa).
The number of actual incel homicides (so not including Aztec, Parkland and Hanau) is 6+9+1+11+2+1+5=35, making the homicide rate (35 x 100,000)/(8 x 40,000) = 10.9 victims per 100k incels per year. That is less than 37 countries, 4 US states/territories and 39 (i.e. over a third) of the 100 most populous US cities.
Another thing to point out is that most homicides are committed by young men; the same demographic that almost all incels are in. I'm sure if you took the crime rates if just the young men in any city, state or country, they would be much higher than the incel one.
So, TLDR, the incel homicide rate is unsurprisingly on the high side but not an outlier when compared with other people's crime rates. And that's when being unfair to us. Since this obviously would not the case for any terrorist or hate group, this proves anything the media says about incels being terrorists or a hate group is just fearmongering clickbait.
So the incel killings wikipedia lists are ER (6 killed), Umpqua (9 killed), Edmonton (1 killed), Aztec (2 killed), Parkland (17 killed), Toronto (11 killed), Tallahassee (2 killed), Hanau (10 killed), Toronto again (1 killed), and Plymouth (5 killed).
Now the media and anti-incels usually say that lonely, frustrated men are not incels unless they actually identify with the word. Applying that logic here would remove most of this list. The Umpqua shooter never called himself an incel. The closest he got was when he was asked online if he was "saving himself for someone special" and said "involuntarily so". The Plymouth shooter explicitly said "I wouldn't clarify myself as an incel". However, just to prove a point, I'm going to be intentionally unfair to us and include them.
The Aztec and Parkland shooters, however, could not be called incel by even the biggest stretch; they're only included on wikipedia because they idolised mass killers including Elliot Rodger (and so did the Umpqua one). But they obviously just liked him as a mass killer and didn't care about him as an incel. Both were motivate by the alt-right. And the Hanau shooter doesn't seem to have even known about incels. He was motivated by schizophrenia and the alt-right. So I will include them in one calculation and exclude them in another.
Now I need the incel population. r/incels had about 40,000 members when it was banned, and I will assume the number of non-incels and alts subbed to it balances out the number of incels not subbed to it. So I'm just gonna take it as the incel population. Keep in mind that it's the number of people specifically in the incel community and not just the number of involuntary celibates, meaning that most of these shooters aren't even in that number, but once again I'm being unfair to us to prove a point.
So the number of claimed incel homicides is 6+9+1+2+17+11+2+10+1+5=64. And these shootings happened over 8 years. So the homicide rate of incels is (64 x 100,000)/(8 x 40,000) = 20 victims per 100,000 incels per year. According to this and this, that is less than 23 countries and 12 of the most populous 100 US cities (St. Louis, Baltimore, Detroit, New Orleans, Baton Rouge, Kansas City, Cleveland, Memphis, Newark, Cincinnati, Mobile, Philadelphia, Milwaukee, Chicago, Pittsburgh, Indianapolis, Stockton and Tulsa).
The number of actual incel homicides (so not including Aztec, Parkland and Hanau) is 6+9+1+11+2+1+5=35, making the homicide rate (35 x 100,000)/(8 x 40,000) = 10.9 victims per 100k incels per year. That is less than 37 countries, 4 US states/territories and 39 (i.e. over a third) of the 100 most populous US cities.
Another thing to point out is that most homicides are committed by young men; the same demographic that almost all incels are in. I'm sure if you took the crime rates if just the young men in any city, state or country, they would be much higher than the incel one.
So, TLDR, the incel homicide rate is unsurprisingly on the high side but not an outlier when compared with other people's crime rates. And that's when being unfair to us. Since this obviously would not the case for any terrorist or hate group, this proves anything the media says about incels being terrorists or a hate group is just fearmongering clickbait.