News Russia Plans to Launch an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile TONIGHT into Ukraine

[Justanotherbloke]

Sorry, Low Effort post.
Apparently there's tons of news articles about it and backed up by ukrainian intelligence.

Anyone else has more info?
Goal is apparently to intimidate Nato, Ukraine.
Most likely without a nuclear payload (actually, not sure about that)

Share info throughout the day / updates are allowed in this thread

 

[AsiaCel]

They already did launched ballistic missiles.

ICBMs are nothing special, just ballistic missiles with more range and payload, perhaps methods to avoid interception (MIRV).

Putin's gonna fill it with high explosive and the effects won't be that much different than a giant bomb.

 

[McFlurryCel]

notihng burgER

 

[PersonalityChad]

backed up by ukrainian intelligence

"Ukrainian intelligence" being used as a source pretty much automatically means that the article in question is fake and most likely gay

 

[Justanotherbloke]

They already did launched ballistic missiles.

ICBMs are nothing special, just ballistic missiles with more range and payload, perhaps methods to avoid interception (MIRV).

Putin's gonna fill it with high explosive and the effects won't be that much different than a giant bomb.

Yes but maybe this one will be a bit more fierce in comparison to the last one in December, last one was without payload

 

[Asgard]

The Jewish settlement of Ukraine is Zionist Russian empire's playground, so this was kind of expected.

 

[Justanotherbloke]

"Ukrainian intelligence" being used as a source pretty much automatically means that the article in question is fake and most likely gay

I'm skeptical of course but on the other hand, I'm a bit cautious
You never know

 

[fullofchagrin]

Sorry, Low Effort post.
Apparently there's tons of news articles about it and backed up by ukrainian intelligence.

Anyone else has more info?
Goal is apparently to intimidate Nato, Ukraine.
Most likely without a nuclear payload (actually, not sure about that)

Share info throughout the day / updates are allowed in this thread

what's the point of launching an ICBM to a neighboring country

 

[Justanotherbloke]

They already did launched ballistic missiles.

ICBMs are nothing special, just ballistic missiles with more range and payload, perhaps methods to avoid interception (MIRV).

Putin's gonna fill it with high explosive and the effects won't be that much different than a giant bomb.

They were talking massive amounts of TNY, so last Oreshnik ICBM was without payload, my guess is they'll use massive amounts of TNT to scale up the intimidation

 

[AsiaCel]

Yes but maybe this one will be a bit more fierce in comparison to the last one in December, last one was without payload

Yeah, it still won't be game changing.

RS-28 Sarmat - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

10000kg payload.

Maybe Putin fill it with 10000kg of A-IX-2 or whatever.

It would just be like three PE-8 bombers throwing this thing down.

FAB-5000 - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

 

[fullofchagrin]

Most likely without a nuclear payload (actually, not sure about that)

of course it won't be a nuke

 

[Anthrofurrcel]

Good

 

[glassescel]

Sorry, Low Effort post.
Apparently there's tons of news articles about it and backed up by ukrainian intelligence.

Anyone else has more info?
Goal is apparently to intimidate Nato, Ukraine.
Most likely without a nuclear payload (actually, not sure about that)

Share info throughout the day / updates are allowed in this thread

They will bomb them with mass of dildos! Putins perverted dream to bomb countries with dildos.

 

[Asgard]

Imagine caring about this unironically. Most people in your age range are now outside hanging out with friends and living life and meanwhile you guys are here doing autistic tier analyses... just fucking lol. I'm going back on r/aspergers where at least I have a high count of karma unlike in this dead forum where I get ignored everywhere.

 

[AsiaCel]

They were talking massive amounts of TNY, so last Oreshnik ICBM was without payload, my guess is they'll use massive amounts of TNT to scale up the intimidation

10000kg of payload. Certainly extremely deadly if dropped on a town, but a sukhoi su-34 can carry that much weight already.

Now, the weight of a weapon is way higher than its payload (warhead), so thrown in another Su-34 and you will have approximately similar combined explosive mass of 10tons.

Sukhoi Su-34 - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

 

[Corvus]

 

[AsiaCel]

10000kg of payload. Certainly extremely deadly if dropped on a town, but a sukhoi su-34 can carry that much weight already.

Now, the weight of a weapon is way higher than its payload (warhead), so thrown in another Su-34 and you will have approximately similar combined explosive mass of 10tons.

Sukhoi Su-34 - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

Granted, launching HE weapons in isolation is less lethal than one weapon containing big boom.

But people freak out thinking it's gonna be a nuke; it's not.

 

[RandomGuy]

notihng burgER

View: https://youtu.be/mkQELS8BpL0?si=maQ0sfsrWLoOILdj

 

[Justanotherbloke]

10000kg of payload. Certainly extremely deadly if dropped on a town, but a sukhoi su-34 can carry that much weight already.

Now, the weight of a weapon is way higher than its payload (warhead), so thrown in another Su-34 and you will have approximately similar combined explosive mass of 10tons.

Sukhoi Su-34 - Wikipedia

en.m.wikipedia.org

A 10-ton conventional warhead delivered by ICBM would be catastrophic destruction far beyond typical conventional airstrikes. The explosion would create a 50 meter fireball as far as my research goes. completely level structures within 200 meters, and cause severe damage out to half a kilometer.
The blast would mirror a tactical nuke's destructive power while deliberately avoiding the nuclear threshold, making it both devastating and dangerously provocative.

 

[AsiaCel]

A 10-ton conventional warhead delivered by ICBM would be catastrophic destruction far beyond typical conventional airstrikes. The explosion would create a 50 meter fireball as far as my research goes. completely level structures within 200 meters, and cause severe damage out to half a kilometer.
The blast would mirror a tactical nuke's destructive power while deliberately avoiding the nuclear threshold, making it both devastating and dangerously provocative.

I assume Ukrainians will tell their civilians to stay under bunkers or deep metros. Now, I'm not too familiar with relation of bunker busting and surface damage, but I assume the Russians would airburst it.

Lets see what happens....

 

[Sir Waco]

Dunno man I feel nothing is gonna happen. Russia has launched ballistic missiles before (like once every 2 months they start spamming cruise and ballistic missiles at ukrainian cities, they're usually successful but I remember that one time this february where the russian navy launched 4 missiles and all were shot down ).
Thing is that the war is pretty much cooling down, even before the Istanbul talks there was a lot less action happening. Like the last notable thing was Russia reclaiming Kursk, ever since then it returned to normal meatgrinder business. And earlier this month they were also saying that Russia is gonna do an ICBM strike on Kiev cuz they detected some missile testing in Volgograd-Astrakhan area, nothing happened though, I feel like this is just gonna be a repeat but I could be proven wrong who knows.

 

[Justanotherbloke]

Dunno man I feel nothing is gonna happen. Russia has launched ballistic missiles before (like once every 2 months they start spamming cruise and ballistic missiles at ukrainian cities, they're usually successful but I remember that one time this february where the russian navy launched 4 missiles and all were shot down ).
Thing is that the war is pretty much cooling down, even before the Istanbul talks there was a lot less action happening. Like the last notable thing was Russia reclaiming Kursk, ever since then it returned to normal meatgrinder business. And earlier this month they were also saying that Russia is gonna do an ICBM strike on Kiev cuz they detected some missile testing in Volgograd-Astrakhan area, nothing happened though, I feel like this is just gonna be a repeat but I could be proven wrong who knows.

You’re not wrong, this does feel like the same old pattern we’ve seen before. Russia launches missiles, some get intercepted, some hit, and life goes on. The frontlines have settled into a brutal stalemate, and aside from occasional flare ups like Kursk, the war’s become a slow, grinding slog. And yeah, the doomsday predictions (like that ICBM rumor) usually fizzle out.
But here’s what keeps me from brushing this off completely.. Russia’s playing the long game. Every missile strike, even the failed ones, serves a purpose, they’re probing Ukraine’s air defenses, draining their resources, and waiting for a weak spot. Sure, Ukraine’s interceptors have had some big wins, but Russia only needs one lucky hit to change the narrative. A major strike on Kyiv or a critical infrastructure target could force a political crisis, even if the frontlines stay frozen.
And escalation rarely comes with a warning. Things stay quiet until they don’t. Maybe this is just another routine strike, or maybe Russia’s testing something new. Either way, dismissing it entirely feels risky.

 

[Knajjd]

You’re not wrong, this does feel like the same old pattern we’ve seen before. Russia launches missiles, some get intercepted, some hit, and life goes on. The frontlines have settled into a brutal stalemate, and aside from occasional flare ups like Kursk, the war’s become a slow, grinding slog. And yeah, the doomsday predictions (like that ICBM rumor) usually fizzle out.
But here’s what keeps me from brushing this off completely.. Russia’s playing the long game. Every missile strike, even the failed ones, serves a purpose, they’re probing Ukraine’s air defenses, draining their resources, and waiting for a weak spot. Sure, Ukraine’s interceptors have had some big wins, but Russia only needs one lucky hit to change the narrative. A major strike on Kyiv or a critical infrastructure target could force a political crisis, even if the frontlines stay frozen.
And escalation rarely comes with a warning. Things stay quiet until they don’t. Maybe this is just another routine strike, or maybe Russia’s testing something new. Either way, dismissing it entirely feels risky.

Could be another political demonstration launching an IRBM with dummy warheads during negotiations.

 

[Emba]

Thanks for the heads-up bro!

 

[TheCatMan]

I'll believe it when I see it