Realistically speaking, your chances are better at the bar, because online dating is heavily skewered towards chad. But don't get your hopes up just yet, because your chances are pretty slim, and if you get something (most of the times, even normies leave without getting anything), the most you're getting is a sloppy, beer-tasting kiss from a half-drunk 3/10 at the end of the night, and she's only kissing you because at 2:30AM all of the chads already left with some becky or stacy to fuck, and you were the only one available, and she'll deeply regret it next morning. Oh, and she kissed probably half a dozen guys already, so there's that (maybe she even sucked one of them in the bathroom, who knows?). You'll never pick up a girl at a bar and fuck her afterwards, that's only for chads and the exceptionally lucky normies.
I don't even consider that as ascension, tbh.