W
weloverope
Greycel
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- Joined
- May 8, 2018
- Posts
- 78
AND WE TURN OUT UGLY AF
elabfish in pond fallacy
the fish in pond fallacy is the fallacy in where a fish in a certain pond attempts to calculate the odds of him wounding up in that particular ponds out of all the possible ones on planet earth. It's fallacious because literally every possible outcome can be estimated to have very slim chances of ever occurring. Another way to think about this is, what were the chances that 9/11 occurred at the time that it did, at the date that it did, hitting the particular buildings that it did. If you were to travel back in a time machine and attempt to calculate the odds of being right that 9/11 will occur at that particular date, at that particular time, hitting those particular buildings, you'd end up with an astronomically low number. And you can do this with literally everything in life. What are the odds that I'd be writing this particular post at this particular time, in this particular spot. If I had a time machine and went back 20 minutes attempting to calculate the probability it would also result in an astronomically low number, so attempting to calculate the odds retrospectively is silly.elab
Im too low IQ to comprehend thisthe fish in pond fallacy is the fallacy in where a fish in a certain pond attempts to calculate the odds of him wounding up in that particular ponds out of all the possible ones on planet earth. It's fallacious because literally every possible outcome can be estimated to have very slim chances of ever occurring. Another way to think about this is, what were the chances that 9/11 occurred at the time that it did, at the date that it did, hitting the particular buildings that it did. If you were to travel back in a time machine and attempt to calculate the odds of being right that 9/11 will occur at that particular date, at that particular time, hitting those particular buildings, you'd end up with an astronomically low number. And you can do this with literally everything in life. What are the odds that I'd be writing this particular post at this particular time, in this particular spot. If I had a time machine and went back 20 minutes attempting to calculate the probability it would also result in an astronomically low number, so attempting to calculate the odds retrospectively is silly.
I'm probably just bad at explaining itIm too low IQ to comprehend this
Jews did 9/11the fish in pond fallacy is the fallacy in where a fish in a certain pond attempts to calculate the odds of him wounding up in that particular ponds out of all the possible ones on planet earth. It's fallacious because literally every possible outcome can be estimated to have very slim chances of ever occurring. Another way to think about this is, what were the chances that 9/11 occurred at the time that it did, at the date that it did, hitting the particular buildings that it did. If you were to travel back in a time machine and attempt to calculate the odds of being right that 9/11 will occur at that particular date, at that particular time, hitting those particular buildings, you'd end up with an astronomically low number. And you can do this with literally everything in life. What are the odds that I'd be writing this particular post at this particular time, in this particular spot. If I had a time machine and went back 20 minutes attempting to calculate the probability it would also result in an astronomically low number, so attempting to calculate the odds retrospectively is silly.