Fontaine
Overlord
★★★★★
- Joined
- Nov 15, 2017
- Posts
- 5,417
For youngcels who don't know it yet, Ray Kurzweil is a famous inventor who infamously proposed the concept that the "singularity is near". The singularity is an hypothetical point in history where machine intelligence and high technology progress faster than our capacity to assimilate them. Many famous scientists and technologists had foreseen such an event before Kurzweil.
He was widely mocked as a crackpot, yet all his predictions so far have come true - that is, if you add 10 years to them. Kurzweil suffers from a personal bias where he mildly underestimates the time necessary for progress to happen, perhaps due to his old age and fear of death. Other than that, he's pretty reliable and recent events have tended to lend credence to him. Google's victory in Go was not expected by the majority of academic AI researchers.
He published two major books worth reading and even buying, The Age of Spiritual Machines and The Singularity is Near.
These readings can, and should be completed with James Barrat's Our Final Invention, and Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence.
Even if the chronological predictions are erroneous, there's ample evidence that the singularity, despite all its oddness, will indeed happen one day. If you're not here anymore to see it, you can at least take comfort, dying on your hospital bed, in the notion that the human species as we know it lives its last days.
Even if the whole theory is completely bonkers, it is psychologically very adaptive to believe in it. It's a great substitute to religion for nerdy atheists. We should consider ourselves very lucky to have this.
He was widely mocked as a crackpot, yet all his predictions so far have come true - that is, if you add 10 years to them. Kurzweil suffers from a personal bias where he mildly underestimates the time necessary for progress to happen, perhaps due to his old age and fear of death. Other than that, he's pretty reliable and recent events have tended to lend credence to him. Google's victory in Go was not expected by the majority of academic AI researchers.
He published two major books worth reading and even buying, The Age of Spiritual Machines and The Singularity is Near.
These readings can, and should be completed with James Barrat's Our Final Invention, and Nick Bostrom's Superintelligence.
Even if the chronological predictions are erroneous, there's ample evidence that the singularity, despite all its oddness, will indeed happen one day. If you're not here anymore to see it, you can at least take comfort, dying on your hospital bed, in the notion that the human species as we know it lives its last days.
Even if the whole theory is completely bonkers, it is psychologically very adaptive to believe in it. It's a great substitute to religion for nerdy atheists. We should consider ourselves very lucky to have this.