Using data to predict the future of incels - could 63% of young men be incels this decade?

[DarwinsDisgrace]

So you know that study that came out last year about 27% of men from the ages of 18 to 30 being incels? Source:



Well I took the graph in the link above and I linearly extrapolated it, just as a thought experiment. If the current rate of increase of incels continues, towards the end of this decade (2028) 63% of 18 to 30 year old men will be incels. Continuing the current trend even further, by the year 2039, every man from 18 to 30 will be an incel (take this with a ton of salt of course).

My thoughts on this: 2020 will be an interesting decade, also ITS OVER.

 

[Deleted member 20811]

You mean 85%+. AT LEAST 85% of men will be incel in 2030. Maybe more like 90% tbh

 

[Excluded]

Road to hell. Thanks boomers.

 

[Words2_live_bye]

over 50% for sure by 2030

 

[TINMAN]

The choice of verbage is quite disingenuous, men are not "driving" the decline in sex, you can't "drive" something which you have no control over..

 

[BenBerger]

We are being liquidated

 

[The Incel Decade]

The Incel Decade

2020s you'll have specific types of men.

The Chads and Chad-lites = 20% max (80/20 theory odds already getting worse)



Betabux = women who are with you only for your money and house and what you provide. You'll get low key starfish sex begrudgingly and she'll have her Chads on the side if she can = 20-30%. This is mostly normies.

Poly cuck soy boys = men who accept their women will have other men but still provide for her. You only get to watch her have sex with other men = 5% and rising fast. Helps that you know who are normalising it in porn and TV

Incels = Almost half of men.

 

[TheGambler2]

no way males are gonna be content with it.right????

 

[DarwinsDisgrace]

You mean 85%+. AT LEAST 85% of men will be incel in 2030. Maybe more like 90% tbh

Funny you should say that, so with a geometric extrapolation - considered up to a 3rd degree polynomial from 2008 - it actually reaches 100% in 6 years time. I didn't want to post that because it is too unbelievable for me. Below I have included an example of this method being used.

source: https://19january2017snapshot.epa.gov/climate-change-science/future-climate-change_.html

Sometimes this method can produce better predictions, because it not only takes into account the current rate, but also the change in the rate.

 

[mylifeistrash]

You mean 85%+. AT LEAST 85% of men will be incel in 2030. Maybe more like 90% tbh

how can anyone not be incel if it takes 366 matches to get sex from tinder?

and to get matches you gotta be chad in the first place

 

[Angry_runt]

I doubt it. The recent increase (the past ~10 years) is due to dating apps becoming popular. Unless there's another black swan like that, inceldom is unlikely to rise dramatically. But radicalization among sexless men will rise once they start realizing their situation, so we will become stronger though not significantly more numerous.

 

[DarwinsDisgrace]

no way males are gonna be content with it.right????

Well, as we can see from the data available, historically dramatic rises have been followed by sharp falls, which keeps falling until the figure is below 10%. We are currently on 27% which is unprecedented to my knowledge. I will speculate on this matter in later posts.

 

[TheGambler2]

Well, as we can see from the data available, historically dramatic rises have been followed by sharp falls, which keeps falling until the figure is below 10%. We are currently on 27% which is unprecedented to my knowledge. I will speculate on this matter in later posts.

Beta uprising 2020 let's go

 

[Deleted member 18214]

Depends. I can see it going up to 50% and above due to social media being pushed more and more and being more normalised. But lets say there is an economic recession or something then low tier normies could beta buxx foids more easily in this period. Who knows. But it will get worse. The beatings will continue until moral improves. Men need to find there pimp hand before its too late.

Beta uprising 2020 let's go

 

[DarwinsDisgrace]

I doubt it. The recent increase (the past ~10 years) is due to dating apps becoming popular. Unless there's another black swan like that, inceldom is unlikely to rise dramatically. But radicalization among sexless men will rise once they start realizing their situation, so we will become stronger though not significantly more numerous.

You make a good point and I had considered that this figure will eventualy plateau - but we just don't know, we won't know until its over and unlike 'black swan events' in economics, which are recognised and stabilised, nothing to my knowledge is stabilising this situation.

Depends. I can see it going up to 50% and above due to social media being pushed more and more and being more normalised. But lets say there is an economic recession or something then low tier normies could beta buxx foids more easily in this period. Who knows. But it will get worse. The beatings will continue until moral improves. Men need to find there pimp hand before its too late.

There is some debate on this from what I can find but it seems that generally, economic downturns lead to a drop in marriages and wars lead to an increase.

 

[LittleDarkAge]

Unlikely we will see such a continued parabolic rise in inceldom. (Unless there is another black-swan event as dramatic as tinder or social media.) If inceldom reached those epidemic levels society would likely collapse

 

[Deleted member 21514]

It will surely increase but i don't think that much tbh

 

[ItsOver4cel]

society would likely collapse

And I hope it does tbh

 

[tanfeo]

Sarge, we need a server upgrade soon, it seems.

 

[FinnCel]

Women will lose their rights and not get them back.
We gave them a chance and they acted like children

 

[Personalityinkwell]

You mean 85%+. AT LEAST 85% of men will be incel in 2030. Maybe more like 90% tbh

More like 95%. Many Chads in their 30s are gonna age fraud on Tinder and screw over every single Chadlite and many Chads in their 20s. sub8 law will become sub9

 

[Deleted member 20811]

More like 95%. Many Chads in their 30s are gonna age fraud on Tinder and screw over every single Chadlite and many Chads in their 20s. sub8 law will become sub9

Soon it will be sub10 and then every man will be incel because 10/10s don't and can't exist.

 

[Personalityinkwell]

Soon it will be sub10 and then every man will be incel because 10/10s don't and can't exist.

 

[Deleted member 18214]

Road to hell. Thanks boomers.

 

[RopeMaXXer]

Being completely realistic, it will probably get to like 35%.
You have to keep in mind that men don't like to say they're incels and many will lie about it. What's more a huge chunk of those who aren't technically incels have 5 year long dry spells or fuck lanwhales

 

[Deleted member 16390]

Yes . It took 11 years since 2008 to triple the incels from 10% to 30% for men under 31 years old . It will be 50% within 5 years or 2025.

 

[Lame Dude]

Being completely realistic, it will probably get to like 35%.
You have to keep in mind that men don't like to say they're incels and many will lie about it. What's more a huge chunk of those who aren't technically incels have 5 year long dry spells or fuck lanwhales

I can never tell if its exaggeration for the sake of shits and giggles on this forum. Drawing a straight line to extrapolate is wrong.

 

[micropenis29]

how can anyone not be incel if it takes 366 matches to get sex from tinder?

and to get matches you gotta be chad in the first place

Exactly. It will easily be 95+% by 2030.

 

[Deleted member 19546]

60% of men historically were incel. Only

40% of men in history passed on their genes.