Most advanced cities in China have lowest birthrates though
True, as is the case in other countries as well. Which is why it's very good for them that their companies are currently moving manufacturing and investing into China's poor/rural regions, to do exactly what I talked about, making the low-productivity workers there much more productive and contributing to overall economic growth even if their population itself isn't growing.
So demographics dont matter in China but they matter in Germany and Ukraine. Let me right that down so I can remember that
That's why I specifically said that demographics don't really mean much when comparing countries with wildly different technology levels, productivity and so on.
Developing countries, thanks to lagging behind the advanced ones, can easily grow just by focusing on climbing up the value chain, making their workers more productive, adopting new technologies, and so on. Developed countries like Germany can't do that, they are already maxed out in terms of productivity, technology and so on, they don't have any room for catching up like this because they have very few countries to catch up to, no value chains left to climb. For them, the only way to grow is to
create those new technologies to improve their productivity and to create new products, and that's much harder to do than simply adopting such after someone else has already created them, which is why a shrinking population is a serious problem for them economically, it's a real loss of talent and skilled workforce that can't just be replaced by retrained low-skill workers, because countries like Germany don't really have any such native workers.
This dude explains it quite succintly here:
A slowdown in “frontier growth” and technological progress matters a lot for the United States. But it matters less to Poland or Bangladesh – countries that are still trying to get to the frontier. While technological advances do still benefit them, most of their growth comes from using their existing inputs, like land and labour, in more efficient ways that are not technologically novel, or adding more capital that, again, is not technologically novel – some agrarian developing economies can grow simply by adding more tractors; no developed economy can.
For these developing countries, the challenge is to catch upwith the world’s advanced economies, and they can still have rapid improvements in their living standards without the need for global technological progress at all.
We aren't leading the world: we're trying to catch up
www.sambowman.co
As I said nobody can predict the future, it could very well be that whites can automate enough and actually grow their economies. But as it is now if things continue as they are now then whites are finished for good. Its up to them alone so who knows but for now they done and finished.
This reminded me of this study I saw a few months before.
It looks at automation regulated by wage levels. Since obviously richer countries will have more robots, this dude looked at who has more robots than expected given their economic level, and thus is serious about automation, and who is lagging. Spoiler alert, the US and all of the European countries the study looked at, save for Czechia and Slovenia, had less robots than expected, while East Asians like China, Japan, South Korea, Singapore and Thailand had much more.
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